FA Cup . 1/32
Global 2-3
Sheffield Wednesday vs Manchester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.1%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.9%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.4%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
48%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sheffield Wednesday
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2007 |
SHW
1 - 2
HUL
56%
24%
20%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2006 |
BAR
0 - 3
SHW
39%
27%
34%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2006 |
STO
1 - 2
SHW
49%
27%
24%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Dec. 2006 |
SHW
3 - 3
SOU
30%
26%
43%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2006 |
SHW
0 - 3
BIR
33%
28%
39%
|
66 | 82 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2007 |
MAC
2 - 1
EVE
41%
27%
31%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2006 |
WHU
0 - 1
MAC
42%
26%
31%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2006 |
SHE
0 - 1
MAC
38%
26%
36%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2006 |
MAC
0 - 2
BOL
37%
28%
35%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2006 |
MAC
1 - 2
TOT
36%
28%
35%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |