FAI Cup . Semi-finals
Global 3-2
Shamrock Rovers vs St Patrick's analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.6%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
20.7%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shamrock Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2010 |
SHR
1 - 2
SFI
55%
24%
22%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2010 |
BOH
1 - 0
SHR
47%
27%
26%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2010 |
UCD
3 - 2
SHR
25%
28%
47%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2010 |
SHR
3 - 0
GAL
67%
21%
12%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2010 |
SHR
6 - 0
GAL
64%
21%
15%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
St Patrick's
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2010 |
STP
0 - 1
BOH
39%
27%
33%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2010 |
DRO
0 - 3
STP
23%
27%
51%
|
73 | 56 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
SFI
2 - 2
STP
45%
27%
28%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2010 |
STP
1 - 2
DUN
58%
24%
18%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
STP
3 - 1
SFI
47%
25%
28%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | +1 |