Shamakhi vs Neftçi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.4%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.8%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.1%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.7%
45.9%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.7%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
6º
10º
10º
68
2º
4º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
90 | 90 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
81 | 81 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
68 | 68 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 31 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shamakhi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2022 |
ZIR
0 - 0
SHA
56%
24%
19%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
SHA
0 - 1
FKQ
27%
26%
46%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2022 |
SUM
2 - 0
SHA
38%
27%
35%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2022 |
SHA
0 - 0
SEB
52%
25%
23%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
SFK
5 - 1
SHA
53%
24%
23%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Neftçi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2022 |
FKN
2 - 1
RAP
30%
25%
46%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2022 |
FKN
3 - 0
ARI
47%
24%
29%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Jul. 2022 |
ARI
2 - 0
FKN
46%
25%
29%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Jul. 2022 |
GFK
0 - 0
FKN
49%
24%
27%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
QAR
4 - 1
FKN
47%
26%
27%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | -1 |