Sham Shui Po vs Southern District analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.9%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.2%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.3%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.1%
68.9%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
14.9%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.9%
0-2
14.5%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.4%
0-3
9.4%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
12.7%
0-4
4.6%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.8%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
12
8º
10º
9º
34
1º
5º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
54 | 54 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 46 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 46 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 45 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
34 | 34 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 18 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
18 | 18 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
12 | 12 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
9 | 9 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
7 | 7 |
11º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sham Shui Po
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2023 |
SHA
0 - 4
EAS
5%
16%
80%
|
38 | 69 | 31 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
WAR
4 - 0
SHA
84%
12%
4%
|
39 | 67 | 28 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
WTP
0 - 0
SHA
83%
12%
6%
|
38 | 53 | 15 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
SHA
0 - 7
BIU
11%
18%
71%
|
39 | 57 | 18 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
SHA
0 - 3
SDI
11%
20%
69%
|
39 | 63 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Southern District
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2023 |
HON
2 - 1
SDI
28%
26%
47%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
SDI
1 - 2
BIU
53%
21%
26%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
BIU
1 - 0
SDI
34%
26%
40%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
SDI
0 - 5
KFC
35%
24%
41%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
SDI
1 - 0
RES
71%
18%
11%
|
63 | 45 | 18 | 0 |