Dynamo Dresden vs Karlsruher SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.5%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
30.8%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dynamo Dresden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2004 |
COT
2 - 1
SGD
69%
20%
12%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2004 |
SGD
3 - 1
MSV
29%
27%
44%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 Jun. 2004 |
KFC
1 - 0
SGD
34%
28%
38%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2004 |
SGD
1 - 0
VFR
67%
21%
12%
|
62 | 38 | 24 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2004 |
WER
0 - 4
SGD
52%
25%
23%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Karlsruher SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2004 |
EIN
2 - 1
KSC
69%
19%
12%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2004 |
KSC
1 - 1
WAC
41%
27%
32%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2004 |
KSC
1 - 0
AAA
25%
24%
51%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | +2 |
| 16 May. 2004 |
FCU
2 - 2
KSC
54%
24%
22%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2004 |
KSC
0 - 1
EIN
40%
26%
34%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | -1 |