Dynamo Dresden vs Fortuna Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.4%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.6%
13%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dynamo Dresden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
ARB
4 - 1
SGD
45%
26%
29%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
SGD
1 - 0
CHE
55%
24%
21%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2014 |
HAL
1 - 1
SGD
27%
27%
46%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2014 |
SGD
1 - 1
MAI
77%
16%
7%
|
71 | 52 | 19 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
SGS
1 - 3
SGD
30%
27%
44%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
KÖL
3 - 0
COT
31%
28%
42%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
STU
3 - 1
KÖL
42%
28%
30%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2014 |
KÖL
1 - 0
ROS
41%
25%
34%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
BOR
0 - 2
KÖL
57%
23%
20%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
KÖL
2 - 0
UNT
35%
26%
39%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | +2 |