Dynamo Dresden vs Erzgebirge Aue analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.1%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
32.2%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dynamo Dresden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2000 |
LAS
1 - 1
SGD
38%
27%
36%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1999 |
PLA
1 - 1
SGD
45%
26%
30%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1999 |
SGD
0 - 1
SAC
48%
26%
27%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 1999 |
SGD
0 - 1
BAB
51%
25%
24%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1999 |
VFL
1 - 3
SGD
34%
25%
41%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2000 |
ERZ
1 - 0
VFL
68%
19%
13%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1999 |
ERZ
2 - 1
HER
61%
21%
17%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1999 |
ERF
2 - 1
ERZ
38%
27%
35%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1999 |
ERZ
3 - 1
ZWI
57%
24%
20%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1999 |
MAG
1 - 2
ERZ
57%
23%
20%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | +1 |