Dynamo Dresden vs Arminia Bielefeld analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.1%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
26.6%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dynamo Dresden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
HEI
0 - 0
SGD
46%
25%
29%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
SGD
5 - 0
STU
25%
23%
52%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2016 |
SVS
2 - 0
SGD
31%
28%
42%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
SGD
2 - 2
WUR
54%
26%
20%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2016 |
KAI
3 - 0
SGD
38%
27%
35%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Arminia Bielefeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2016 |
F95
4 - 0
ARB
43%
26%
31%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2016 |
ARB
0 - 1
WUR
48%
27%
25%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
KAI
0 - 0
ARB
43%
26%
31%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
ARB
1 - 3
FCN
34%
26%
41%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2016 |
ERZ
1 - 1
ARB
32%
28%
40%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |