Stern vs Greifswalder analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.3%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.2%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.9%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.3%
69.4%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.2%
0-3
8%
1-4
4.7%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
13.9%
0-4
4.8%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7.6%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.4%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+158%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2020 |
RFC
2 - 3
SFC
67%
17%
16%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2020 |
SFC
1 - 1
HZE
13%
17%
70%
|
20 | 36 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2020 |
MSV
0 - 2
SFC
77%
13%
10%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | +2 |
Matches
Greifswalder
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2020 |
GRE
2 - 0
BWB
36%
25%
39%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2020 |
BSC
0 - 3
GRE
11%
16%
73%
|
36 | 17 | 19 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2020 |
GRE
2 - 2
SCS
72%
16%
12%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
GRE
0 - 1
TAS
27%
24%
49%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
MSV
2 - 4
GRE
30%
22%
48%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | +1 |