Sevilla vs Hércules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.2%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.5%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
18.3%
18.5%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sevilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 1940 |
FCB
1 - 2
SEV
66%
18%
16%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1940 |
SEV
3 - 0
ZAR
73%
15%
12%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1940 |
BET
3 - 2
SEV
50%
23%
28%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1940 |
SEV
4 - 1
ATM
63%
18%
19%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1940 |
VCF
2 - 2
SEV
54%
21%
26%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 1940 |
HER
0 - 2
RMA
33%
24%
43%
|
79 | 90 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1940 |
ATH
4 - 1
HER
84%
10%
7%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 1940 |
FCB
0 - 0
HER
69%
17%
15%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1940 |
HER
5 - 1
ZAR
67%
17%
16%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 1940 |
BET
4 - 3
HER
51%
23%
26%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | -1 |