Sever Murmansk vs Dnepr Smolensk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.2%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.1%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
41.9%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sever Murmansk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2013 |
SEV
1 - 1
LOK
27%
26%
47%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2013 |
SEV
0 - 0
FCR
56%
22%
22%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2013 |
KOL
3 - 0
SEV
12%
18%
70%
|
38 | 15 | 23 | -2 |
| 24 Jul. 2013 |
ZNA
1 - 0
SEV
16%
21%
63%
|
40 | 24 | 16 | -2 |
| 18 Jul. 2013 |
SEV
3 - 1
SPA
44%
26%
30%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
Dnepr Smolensk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2013 |
FCR
2 - 2
DNE
29%
26%
46%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2013 |
DNE
1 - 0
ZNA
71%
19%
11%
|
44 | 27 | 17 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
DNE
2 - 1
KOL
77%
15%
8%
|
44 | 21 | 23 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2013 |
FCV
1 - 1
DNE
20%
25%
55%
|
45 | 27 | 18 | -1 |
| 24 Jul. 2013 |
SPA
2 - 4
DNE
30%
29%
41%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | +1 |