Servette vs FC Lugano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.8%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
19.3%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Servette
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 1991 |
YOB
2 - 2
SER
49%
24%
27%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1991 |
SER
1 - 1
LAU
45%
26%
29%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1990 |
FCW
1 - 3
SER
38%
26%
36%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 1990 |
SER
0 - 2
STG
55%
24%
21%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 1990 |
FCL
1 - 3
SER
44%
26%
30%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 1991 |
LUG
2 - 1
NEX
43%
26%
31%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1991 |
GCZ
2 - 0
LUG
64%
21%
15%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 1990 |
GCZ
2 - 0
LUG
63%
22%
16%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1990 |
LUG
3 - 2
LAU
46%
26%
28%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1990 |
NEX
1 - 1
LUG
63%
21%
16%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |