Sertãozinho vs Barretos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.9%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
6%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.5%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
38.8%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sertãozinho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2023 |
MAT
0 - 1
SER
35%
26%
39%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
SER
0 - 5
CAP
31%
26%
44%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2023 |
AUD
2 - 1
SER
41%
26%
33%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
SER
1 - 2
RBB
35%
26%
39%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
SER
0 - 3
NOR
29%
27%
44%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Barretos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2023 |
BAR
3 - 1
SAO
54%
24%
23%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
ITA
1 - 1
BAR
30%
28%
42%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2023 |
CAP
2 - 2
BAR
56%
23%
21%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
BAR
0 - 0
USA
59%
22%
19%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
BAR
1 - 1
COM
33%
27%
40%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |