Sertanense vs Lusitania FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.9%
13.1%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+67%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sertanense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
FAT
2 - 1
SER
50%
25%
26%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
SER
1 - 3
OPE
37%
26%
37%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
SER
2 - 0
VIT
68%
19%
13%
|
46 | 33 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
BEN
0 - 1
SER
66%
20%
14%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
SER
1 - 1
UDL
28%
28%
44%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Lusitania FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
LUS
2 - 3
1DE
26%
29%
45%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2016 |
SAC
2 - 1
LUS
58%
24%
18%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2016 |
LUS
1 - 1
SAC
28%
28%
44%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
LUS
2 - 2
SAN
20%
23%
57%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
OLI
3 - 1
LUS
27%
24%
49%
|
35 | 21 | 14 | -2 |