Serrano SC vs Vitória da Conquista analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.4%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.6%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
41.3%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Serrano SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
SDJ
2 - 2
SER
61%
22%
18%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
CFC
1 - 1
SER
52%
23%
25%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2012 |
SER
1 - 0
VIT
10%
18%
72%
|
41 | 72 | 31 | +2 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
VIT
3 - 0
SER
89%
9%
3%
|
42 | 72 | 30 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2012 |
SER
2 - 2
CFC
43%
25%
32%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória da Conquista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
VIT
2 - 1
ITA
59%
22%
19%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
FEI
3 - 1
VIT
44%
26%
31%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2012 |
JUA
1 - 0
VIT
34%
25%
41%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
VIT
1 - 1
JUA
63%
20%
16%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2012 |
VIT
1 - 0
FEI
53%
24%
23%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | +1 |