Serrano FC vs Petrópolis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
5%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.3%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
43.8%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Serrano FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
AME
0 - 1
SFC
54%
25%
21%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
SFC
1 - 2
OLA
20%
24%
56%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2024 |
AUD
2 - 1
SFC
48%
26%
26%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
SFC
1 - 1
CMA
32%
26%
41%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
RES
1 - 1
SFC
49%
25%
26%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Petrópolis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
PET
0 - 0
AFC
49%
25%
25%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
CAB
0 - 0
PET
31%
25%
44%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
PET
1 - 2
DUQ
42%
28%
31%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2024 |
PET
1 - 1
AME
39%
27%
34%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
OLA
2 - 1
PET
42%
26%
32%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | -1 |