Serra Talhada vs Salgueiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.7%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
4%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.9%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.6%
48.6%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
14.6%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
10%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Serra Talhada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
SPO
4 - 2
SER
79%
15%
6%
|
46 | 75 | 29 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2015 |
NAU
4 - 0
SER
71%
18%
11%
|
46 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
SER
3 - 0
SAN
10%
21%
69%
|
44 | 66 | 22 | +2 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
CEN
1 - 0
SER
46%
26%
28%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2015 |
SER
1 - 0
POR
44%
27%
30%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Salgueiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
SAN
0 - 1
SAL
68%
20%
12%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2015 |
SAL
3 - 0
MOT
53%
25%
22%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2015 |
SAL
0 - 3
SPO
12%
21%
67%
|
55 | 75 | 20 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2015 |
SAL
0 - 0
PIA
60%
23%
17%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
SAL
0 - 1
CEN
56%
24%
20%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | -1 |