Serra Talhada vs Chã Grande analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.9%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
22.6%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Serra Talhada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
POR
0 - 0
SER
41%
25%
34%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2013 |
SER
1 - 4
PES
58%
23%
20%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2013 |
NAU
2 - 1
SER
85%
11%
4%
|
44 | 74 | 30 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
SER
1 - 0
YPI
47%
24%
29%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2013 |
CHA
0 - 1
SER
44%
24%
32%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Chã Grande
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2013 |
PET
0 - 1
CHA
41%
24%
35%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
CHA
0 - 1
BEL
37%
25%
37%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2013 |
CEN
2 - 1
CHA
56%
24%
21%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2013 |
CHA
1 - 0
POR
43%
24%
33%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
PES
2 - 1
CHA
42%
24%
34%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | -1 |