Serra Macaense vs São Cristóvão RJ analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
14.7%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+74%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Serra Macaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2011 |
SAO
3 - 0
SER
41%
24%
35%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
SER
3 - 0
MES
62%
20%
18%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2011 |
SER
6 - 0
TFC
58%
22%
21%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
IFC
1 - 3
SER
44%
25%
32%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2011 |
SER
2 - 0
ANG
51%
23%
27%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
São Cristóvão RJ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2011 |
SCR
0 - 6
TFC
41%
25%
35%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
IFC
4 - 1
SCR
56%
23%
21%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2011 |
SCR
1 - 3
ANG
38%
24%
37%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
ITA
0 - 0
SCR
60%
21%
19%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2011 |
SCR
0 - 1
SEC
30%
25%
46%
|
28 | 41 | 13 | -1 |