Serra FC vs Vitória ES analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.7%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.3%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
42.2%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Serra FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2022 |
SER
2 - 0
RIO
35%
24%
41%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
REA
2 - 0
SER
57%
22%
22%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
SER
1 - 1
DES
47%
24%
29%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2022 |
EST
0 - 0
SER
38%
24%
38%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
SER
2 - 2
NVE
27%
23%
51%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória ES
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2022 |
VIT
0 - 3
NVE
32%
23%
46%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
RIO
1 - 1
VIT
39%
25%
36%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
VIT
2 - 2
VFC
51%
23%
26%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
REA
1 - 0
VIT
40%
26%
35%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
VIT
4 - 0
COL
9%
14%
77%
|
47 | 65 | 18 | +2 |