Serpa vs Gil Vicente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
4.8%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.5%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
0.1%
+2
0.9%
1-0
1.8%
2-1
1.5%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
3.8%
11%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
11%
84.2%
Win probability
2.89
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
13.1%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
22%
0-3
12.6%
1-4
5.2%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
18.7%
0-4
9.1%
1-5
3%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
12.5%
0-5
5.2%
1-6
1.4%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
6.9%
0-6
2.5%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0.1%
-6
3.2%
0-7
1%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1.3%
0-8
0.4%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.4%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Serpa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
ALE
0 - 1
SER
52%
24%
24%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
SER
2 - 0
IMO
41%
23%
37%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | +2 |
| 01 Nov. 2023 |
SER
0 - 1
OEL
16%
21%
63%
|
34 | 61 | 27 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
MON
1 - 1
SER
54%
21%
25%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
PER
0 - 0
SER
47%
23%
30%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Gil Vicente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
GFC
1 - 1
RIO
46%
26%
28%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
FAM
3 - 1
GFC
48%
26%
26%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
GFC
3 - 3
SPB
16%
20%
65%
|
71 | 87 | 16 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
BEL
1 - 2
GFC
12%
18%
71%
|
71 | 48 | 23 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
CHA
4 - 2
GFC
41%
27%
32%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | -1 |