Serpa vs Esperança de Lagos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.5%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.8%
26.7%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
4º
12º
8º
31
4º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 52 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
51 | 51 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 46 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 45 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 41 |
5º
|
77% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
59.5% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 37 |
7º
|
19.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
33 | 36 |
8º
|
77% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 35 |
9º
|
15% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
47% | |
|
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 17 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 16 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Serpa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
IMO
1 - 1
SER
51%
24%
25%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
SER
1 - 2
PRA
50%
24%
27%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
VAS
1 - 1
SER
40%
25%
36%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
SER
0 - 1
ORI
73%
16%
11%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2023 |
RAB
2 - 1
SER
43%
26%
31%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Esperança de Lagos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
EDL
0 - 2
ALE
31%
26%
43%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
JUV
1 - 0
EDL
59%
21%
20%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
EDL
1 - 1
FER
69%
18%
13%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
EDL
3 - 2
IMO
28%
27%
46%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
PRA
0 - 1
EDL
47%
22%
31%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | +1 |