Sergipe vs Confiança analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.9%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.6%
22%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
61%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.8%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.5%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sergipe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2020 |
AFP
0 - 1
SER
30%
24%
47%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2020 |
ITA
1 - 4
SER
38%
27%
35%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Jul. 2020 |
SER
2 - 1
ITA
44%
26%
30%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | +2 |
| 28 Jul. 2020 |
CON
2 - 2
SER
76%
17%
8%
|
39 | 56 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2020 |
SER
1 - 1
AFP
41%
24%
36%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Confiança
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2020 |
BOT
2 - 0
CON
56%
25%
20%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2020 |
CON
2 - 2
PAR
35%
29%
36%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2020 |
AFP
0 - 4
CON
10%
16%
73%
|
55 | 38 | 17 | +1 |
| 01 Aug. 2020 |
CON
1 - 0
AFP
71%
17%
12%
|
55 | 39 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2020 |
BAH
1 - 0
CON
78%
15%
6%
|
55 | 79 | 24 | 0 |