Sergipe vs Confiança analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.5%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
15.7%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sergipe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2014 |
SER
1 - 0
NAU
29%
25%
46%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
LAG
0 - 7
SER
25%
26%
50%
|
48 | 34 | 14 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2014 |
SER
3 - 0
OSE
80%
14%
6%
|
48 | 20 | 28 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
SER
2 - 0
CDC
80%
14%
7%
|
48 | 22 | 26 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
ITA
1 - 4
SER
28%
28%
44%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Confiança
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
AMA
1 - 0
CON
26%
24%
50%
|
43 | 30 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2014 |
CON
2 - 2
LAG
64%
21%
15%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
COR
0 - 1
CON
17%
21%
62%
|
43 | 16 | 27 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
CON
1 - 0
EST
59%
22%
19%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2014 |
OSE
0 - 3
CON
24%
25%
51%
|
42 | 23 | 19 | +1 |