Seregno vs Virtus Ciserano Bergamo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.2%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
21.4%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Seregno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
SCA
2 - 0
SER
25%
26%
50%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
ADR
0 - 0
SER
45%
24%
31%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
SER
2 - 1
CAS
36%
26%
39%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2021 |
CAL
0 - 1
SER
47%
24%
30%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
SER
2 - 1
VIL
59%
22%
20%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Virtus Ciserano Bergamo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
VCB
1 - 1
VIL
55%
21%
24%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
VCB
0 - 1
USB
52%
21%
27%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
CAL
1 - 0
VCB
36%
23%
42%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2021 |
VCB
2 - 2
CAR
71%
16%
13%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
CRE
1 - 0
VCB
47%
22%
31%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | -1 |