World Cup Grupo A. Jor. 1

Senegal vs Netherlands analysis

Senegal Netherlands
84 ELO 93
-7.1% Tilt -13.7%
145º General ELO ranking 23º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
8.2%
Senegal
15.6%
Draw
76.2%
Netherlands

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.2%
Win probability
Senegal
0.64
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.6%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
2.4%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.2%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
15.6%
76.2%
Win probability
Netherlands
2.39
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
13.7%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.3%
0-3
10.9%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.9%
0-4
6.5%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
8.8%
0-5
3.1%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Senegal
+14%
-2%
Netherlands

ELO progression

Senegal
Netherlands
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Senegal
Senegal
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Sep. 2022
IRN
Iran
1 - 1
Senegal
SEN
69%
19%
12%
84 89 5 0
24 Sep. 2022
BOL
Bolivia
0 - 2
Senegal
SEN
35%
26%
39%
83 75 8 +1
02 Sep. 2022
GIN
Guinea
1 - 0
Senegal
SEN
26%
27%
47%
84 72 12 -1
27 Aug. 2022
SEN
Senegal
1 - 0
Guinea
GIN
66%
20%
14%
83 72 11 +1
30 Jul. 2022
SEN
Senegal
1 - 2
Liberia
LBR
81%
14%
5%
84 52 32 -1

Matches

Netherlands
Netherlands
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Sep. 2022
NLD
Netherlands
1 - 0
Belgium
BEL
44%
23%
33%
93 93 0 0
22 Sep. 2022
POL
Poland
0 - 2
Netherlands
NLD
19%
23%
58%
93 87 6 0
14 Jun. 2022
NLD
Netherlands
3 - 2
Wales
WLS
82%
12%
6%
93 86 7 0
11 Jun. 2022
NLD
Netherlands
2 - 2
Poland
POL
73%
16%
11%
93 87 6 0
08 Jun. 2022
WLS
Wales
1 - 2
Netherlands
NLD
10%
20%
70%
93 86 7 0
X