CAF Qualifying Grupo H. Jor. 5

Zambia vs Ivory Coast analysis

Zambia Ivory Coast
72 ELO 83
1.2% Tilt -7.4%
856º General ELO ranking 198º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
24.7%
Zambia
26.2%
Draw
49.1%
Ivory Coast

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.7%
Win probability
Zambia
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
49.1%
Win probability
Ivory Coast
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Zambia
+8%
-3%
Ivory Coast

ELO progression

Zambia
Ivory Coast
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Zambia
Zambia
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Mar. 2023
LSO
Lesotho
0 - 2
Zambia
ZMB
13%
21%
66%
70 53 17 0
23 Mar. 2023
ZMB
Zambia
3 - 1
Lesotho
LSO
73%
17%
10%
70 53 17 0
17 Nov. 2022
ISR
Israel
4 - 2
Zambia
ZMB
69%
18%
13%
71 80 9 -1
23 Sep. 2022
MLI
Mali
1 - 0
Zambia
ZMB
57%
23%
19%
71 78 7 0
30 Jul. 2022
ZMB
Zambia
0 - 1
Mozambique
MOZ
71%
18%
11%
72 57 15 -1

Matches

Ivory Coast
Ivory Coast
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Mar. 2023
COM
Comoros
0 - 2
Ivory Coast
CIV
8%
18%
75%
84 48 36 0
24 Mar. 2023
CIV
Ivory Coast
3 - 1
Comoros
COM
92%
6%
2%
84 48 36 0
27 Jan. 2023
DZA
Algeria
1 - 0
Ivory Coast
CIV
54%
23%
23%
84 85 1 0
22 Jan. 2023
UGA
Uganda
1 - 3
Ivory Coast
CIV
15%
23%
62%
84 69 15 0
18 Jan. 2023
COD
RD Congo
0 - 0
Ivory Coast
CIV
19%
24%
57%
84 69 15 0
X