Zambia vs Equatorial Guinea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.9%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
13.7%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zambia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2021 |
GNQ
2 - 0
ZMB
19%
25%
57%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2021 |
ZMB
0 - 2
TUN
29%
27%
44%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2021 |
MRT
1 - 2
ZMB
22%
26%
53%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2021 |
ZAF
0 - 0
ZMB
52%
25%
23%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Jul. 2021 |
ZMB
2 - 1
BWA
71%
19%
10%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Equatorial Guinea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2021 |
GNQ
2 - 0
ZMB
19%
25%
57%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2021 |
GNQ
1 - 0
MRT
35%
27%
38%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2021 |
TUN
3 - 0
GNQ
76%
17%
7%
|
57 | 82 | 25 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
TUN
2 - 1
GNQ
77%
17%
7%
|
58 | 82 | 24 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2021 |
GNQ
1 - 0
TZA
38%
27%
36%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | +1 |