Yibuti vs Somalia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.5%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.3%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
3%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.8%
33.7%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Yibuti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2020 |
CAB
1 - 1
DJI
6%
11%
83%
|
32 | 8 | 24 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2020 |
CMR
2 - 1
DJI
85%
12%
4%
|
32 | 82 | 50 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
GMB
1 - 1
DJI
70%
19%
12%
|
32 | 62 | 30 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2019 |
DJI
1 - 1
GMB
9%
15%
76%
|
31 | 62 | 31 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2019 |
SWZ
0 - 0
DJI
62%
20%
18%
|
30 | 49 | 19 | +1 |
Matches
Somalia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2019 |
ZWE
3 - 1
SOM
81%
15%
4%
|
34 | 70 | 36 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2019 |
SOM
1 - 0
ZWE
4%
9%
87%
|
32 | 70 | 38 | +2 |
| 03 Aug. 2019 |
UGA
4 - 1
SOM
81%
15%
4%
|
32 | 69 | 37 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2019 |
SOM
1 - 3
UGA
4%
11%
85%
|
33 | 69 | 36 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
SSD
2 - 0
SOM
68%
19%
14%
|
34 | 48 | 14 | -1 |