Venezuela vs Sweden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.8%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.1%
25%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25%
56.2%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
14.5%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.4%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Venezuela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2006 |
VEN
2 - 1
GTM
53%
23%
24%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2006 |
URY
4 - 0
VEN
72%
19%
9%
|
80 | 91 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2006 |
VEN
1 - 0
URY
23%
26%
51%
|
80 | 91 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2006 |
AUT
0 - 1
VEN
71%
18%
11%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2006 |
CHE
1 - 0
VEN
73%
18%
9%
|
79 | 91 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Sweden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2006 |
SWE
0 - 1
CIV
73%
18%
9%
|
94 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2006 |
ISL
1 - 2
SWE
18%
25%
57%
|
94 | 80 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2006 |
SWE
2 - 0
ESP
28%
27%
45%
|
93 | 98 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2006 |
SWE
3 - 1
LIE
94%
5%
1%
|
93 | 21 | 72 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2006 |
LVA
0 - 1
SWE
14%
24%
62%
|
93 | 73 | 20 | 0 |