Ukraine vs Poland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.6%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.3%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
39.3%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ukraine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2016 |
UKR
0 - 2
NIR
68%
21%
11%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2016 |
DEU
2 - 0
UKR
77%
15%
9%
|
89 | 95 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2016 |
ALB
1 - 3
UKR
19%
26%
55%
|
89 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2016 |
ROU
3 - 4
UKR
45%
27%
28%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2016 |
UKR
1 - 0
WLS
60%
23%
17%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Poland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2016 |
DEU
0 - 0
POL
77%
14%
9%
|
88 | 95 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2016 |
POL
1 - 0
NIR
72%
18%
10%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2016 |
POL
0 - 0
LTU
80%
14%
6%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2016 |
POL
1 - 2
NLD
25%
24%
51%
|
88 | 93 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
POL
5 - 0
FIN
70%
19%
11%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |