Turkey vs Croatia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.6%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.9%
1-0
8%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.3%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
45.8%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.8%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Turkey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2020 |
TUR
2 - 2
SRB
56%
24%
20%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
RUS
1 - 1
TUR
55%
23%
22%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2020 |
DEU
3 - 3
TUR
84%
11%
5%
|
87 | 93 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2020 |
SRB
0 - 0
TUR
45%
25%
31%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2020 |
TUR
0 - 1
HUN
61%
22%
17%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Croatia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2020 |
HRV
1 - 2
FRA
31%
26%
42%
|
91 | 95 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
HRV
2 - 1
SWE
57%
23%
20%
|
90 | 89 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2020 |
CHE
1 - 2
HRV
43%
25%
33%
|
90 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2020 |
FRA
4 - 2
HRV
67%
20%
14%
|
91 | 95 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2020 |
PRT
4 - 1
HRV
58%
22%
20%
|
91 | 92 | 1 | 0 |