Togo vs Gambia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.4%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
36%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Togo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
TGO
0 - 0
BEN
31%
25%
43%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
TGO
2 - 2
CIV
16%
25%
59%
|
59 | 84 | 25 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2018 |
TGO
0 - 0
MDG
37%
26%
36%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2017 |
IRN
2 - 0
TGO
80%
15%
5%
|
60 | 87 | 27 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2017 |
TGO
0 - 1
MWI
51%
26%
23%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Gambia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
GMB
1 - 1
DZA
18%
24%
58%
|
58 | 75 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2018 |
GMB
1 - 1
CAF
77%
16%
7%
|
58 | 20 | 38 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2017 |
MLI
4 - 0
GMB
73%
18%
10%
|
59 | 75 | 16 | -1 |
| 15 Jul. 2017 |
GMB
0 - 0
MLI
18%
24%
58%
|
59 | 75 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2017 |
BEN
1 - 0
GMB
48%
25%
27%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |