Suriname vs Guadeloupe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.7%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.6%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.9%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
55%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Suriname
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
GLP
0 - 0
SUR
68%
19%
13%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2016 |
GUY
2 - 0
SUR
52%
23%
25%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Jun. 2015 |
SUR
1 - 3
NIC
40%
24%
36%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Jun. 2015 |
NIC
1 - 0
SUR
38%
24%
38%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2015 |
SUR
2 - 3
CUW
67%
20%
13%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Guadeloupe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
GLP
0 - 0
SUR
68%
19%
13%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2014 |
GLP
0 - 1
CUW
81%
13%
5%
|
60 | 38 | 22 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
GLP
1 - 2
MTQ
45%
25%
31%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2014 |
GLP
3 - 1
VCT
68%
19%
13%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
GLP
3 - 3
MTQ
54%
23%
23%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | -1 |