Switzerland vs Croatia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.8%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
32.5%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Switzerland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2020 |
CHE
1 - 1
DEU
23%
22%
56%
|
89 | 94 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2020 |
UKR
2 - 1
CHE
39%
27%
34%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2019 |
GIB
1 - 6
CHE
6%
17%
76%
|
90 | 47 | 43 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2019 |
CHE
1 - 0
GEO
80%
14%
6%
|
90 | 75 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2019 |
CHE
2 - 0
IRL
63%
22%
16%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Croatia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2020 |
FRA
4 - 2
HRV
67%
20%
14%
|
91 | 95 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2020 |
PRT
4 - 1
HRV
58%
22%
20%
|
91 | 92 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2019 |
HRV
2 - 1
GEO
80%
14%
6%
|
91 | 74 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2019 |
HRV
3 - 1
SVK
65%
20%
14%
|
91 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
WLS
1 - 1
HRV
20%
25%
54%
|
91 | 84 | 7 | 0 |