Sweden vs Norway analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.7%
Win probability
2.73
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
5%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.9%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15.6%
12.8%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sweden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 1913 |
DEN
8 - 0
SWE
65%
18%
16%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1913 |
HUN
2 - 0
SWE
70%
16%
14%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1913 |
RUS
1 - 4
SWE
54%
21%
25%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1912 |
SWE
4 - 2
NOR
73%
15%
12%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Jul. 1912 |
ITA
1 - 0
SWE
55%
21%
24%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Norway
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 1912 |
SWE
4 - 2
NOR
73%
15%
12%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 1912 |
AUT
1 - 0
NOR
69%
16%
15%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 1912 |
DEN
7 - 0
NOR
69%
17%
14%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | -2 |
| 23 Jun. 1912 |
NOR
0 - 6
HUN
50%
22%
28%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Jun. 1912 |
NOR
1 - 2
SWE
57%
20%
23%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | -1 |