Sweden vs Northern Ireland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.7%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.2%
2-0
15.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.3%
6.9%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sweden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 1974 |
CSK
4 - 0
SWE
57%
23%
21%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1974 |
SWE
1 - 5
NLD
65%
20%
14%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 1974 |
SWE
2 - 1
NOR
87%
9%
4%
|
87 | 58 | 29 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 1974 |
SWE
2 - 1
YUG
61%
19%
20%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 1974 |
BRD
4 - 2
SWE
76%
14%
10%
|
87 | 91 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Northern Ireland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 1974 |
NOR
2 - 1
NIR
43%
25%
33%
|
76 | 57 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1974 |
WLS
1 - 0
NIR
43%
24%
32%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 May. 1974 |
ENG
1 - 0
NIR
85%
11%
4%
|
77 | 91 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1974 |
SCT
0 - 1
NIR
65%
20%
15%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 1973 |
PRT
1 - 1
NIR
68%
18%
13%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |