Sweden vs Georgia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.9%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.1%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
15.3%
7.8%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sweden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2020 |
FRA
4 - 2
SWE
69%
18%
13%
|
88 | 94 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
SWE
2 - 1
HRV
34%
25%
41%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2020 |
DNK
2 - 0
SWE
53%
24%
23%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2020 |
PRT
3 - 0
SWE
69%
18%
12%
|
88 | 92 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
HRV
2 - 1
SWE
57%
23%
20%
|
89 | 90 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Georgia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2020 |
GEO
0 - 0
EST
54%
25%
22%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2020 |
GEO
1 - 2
ARM
48%
25%
27%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2020 |
GEO
0 - 1
MKD
43%
27%
29%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2020 |
MKD
1 - 1
GEO
49%
25%
26%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
ARM
2 - 2
GEO
39%
25%
36%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |