Sweden vs Finland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.8%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
14.2%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sweden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
SWE
2 - 0
DZA
54%
24%
22%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2022 |
MEX
1 - 2
SWE
52%
24%
23%
|
87 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2022 |
SWE
1 - 1
SVN
69%
20%
11%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
SRB
4 - 1
SWE
44%
25%
31%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Jun. 2022 |
NOR
3 - 2
SWE
31%
27%
42%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Finland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
NOR
1 - 1
FIN
58%
23%
19%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2022 |
MKD
1 - 1
FIN
38%
27%
35%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2022 |
MNE
0 - 2
FIN
29%
26%
45%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
FIN
1 - 1
ROU
34%
27%
39%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2022 |
BIH
3 - 2
FIN
49%
25%
26%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |