Sweden vs Chile analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.4%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
30.5%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sweden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2018 |
SWE
1 - 0
DIN
97%
3%
0%
|
89 | 9 | 80 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
SWE
1 - 1
EST
83%
12%
5%
|
89 | 71 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2017 |
ITA
0 - 0
SWE
50%
25%
25%
|
89 | 91 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2017 |
SWE
1 - 0
ITA
34%
25%
41%
|
88 | 92 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2017 |
NLD
2 - 0
SWE
68%
19%
13%
|
89 | 92 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2017 |
BRA
3 - 0
CHL
75%
17%
8%
|
90 | 97 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2017 |
CHL
2 - 1
ECU
63%
21%
17%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2017 |
BOL
1 - 0
CHL
19%
23%
58%
|
91 | 79 | 12 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2017 |
CHL
0 - 3
PRY
76%
16%
8%
|
91 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2017 |
CHL
0 - 1
DEU
25%
21%
54%
|
91 | 95 | 4 | 0 |