Sudan vs Sao Tome and Principe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.8%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.8%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.7%
10.5%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sudan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2019 |
SDN
1 - 2
TZA
49%
25%
26%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
TZA
0 - 1
SDN
41%
27%
32%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2019 |
SDN
0 - 0
TCD
69%
18%
13%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2019 |
TCD
1 - 3
SDN
24%
22%
54%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2019 |
SDN
1 - 4
GNQ
56%
23%
21%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Sao Tome and Principe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
STP
2 - 1
MUS
36%
23%
41%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2019 |
MUS
1 - 3
STP
46%
23%
31%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | +2 |
| 10 Sep. 2019 |
GNB
2 - 1
STP
63%
20%
17%
|
36 | 49 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2019 |
STP
0 - 1
GNB
21%
22%
57%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2019 |
CAF
3 - 0
STP
18%
19%
63%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | -2 |