South Africa vs Zambia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.8%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
26.1%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South Africa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2013 |
ZAF
2 - 1
NAM
70%
20%
10%
|
83 | 60 | 23 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2013 |
ETH
2 - 1
ZAF
18%
25%
58%
|
83 | 60 | 23 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2013 |
CAF
0 - 3
ZAF
7%
18%
75%
|
83 | 15 | 68 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2013 |
LSO
0 - 2
ZAF
11%
21%
69%
|
82 | 49 | 33 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
ZAF
2 - 0
CAF
84%
13%
3%
|
82 | 15 | 67 | 0 |
Matches
Zambia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2013 |
ZMB
3 - 1
MOZ
67%
20%
13%
|
77 | 58 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2013 |
ZMB
1 - 1
SDN
65%
23%
12%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2013 |
ZMB
4 - 0
LSO
75%
18%
7%
|
77 | 48 | 29 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2013 |
NAM
0 - 0
ZMB
21%
24%
55%
|
77 | 58 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
ZMB
2 - 0
ZWE
56%
25%
19%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | +1 |