South Africa vs Paraguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.2%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.3%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.5%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
28%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28%
37.8%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South Africa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
ZAF
1 - 1
NGA
34%
29%
37%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2018 |
SYC
0 - 0
ZAF
6%
15%
79%
|
81 | 37 | 44 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
ZAF
6 - 0
SYC
85%
12%
3%
|
81 | 37 | 44 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
ZAF
0 - 0
LBY
61%
24%
15%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | +1 |
| 08 Jun. 2018 |
ZAF
3 - 0
BWA
70%
20%
10%
|
80 | 60 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Paraguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 2018 |
JPN
4 - 2
PRY
58%
23%
19%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2018 |
USA
1 - 0
PRY
64%
21%
15%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2017 |
PRY
0 - 1
VEN
57%
23%
20%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2017 |
COL
1 - 2
PRY
70%
20%
10%
|
85 | 92 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2017 |
PRY
1 - 2
URY
30%
25%
45%
|
85 | 90 | 5 | 0 |