South Africa vs Mozambique analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.3%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.9%
10.8%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South Africa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2021 |
ZAF
0 - 0
ZMB
52%
25%
23%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2021 |
ZAF
4 - 0
LSO
73%
18%
9%
|
79 | 54 | 25 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2021 |
ZAF
1 - 0
SWZ
76%
17%
7%
|
79 | 49 | 30 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2021 |
ZAF
1 - 0
BWA
72%
19%
9%
|
79 | 59 | 20 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2021 |
ZAF
3 - 2
UGA
59%
25%
16%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Mozambique
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2021 |
MOZ
1 - 0
NAM
27%
27%
45%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2021 |
MOZ
2 - 0
MWI
39%
29%
32%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Jul. 2021 |
SEN
1 - 0
MOZ
77%
16%
7%
|
56 | 83 | 27 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2021 |
MOZ
0 - 0
ZWE
22%
26%
51%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2021 |
MOZ
0 - 1
CPV
27%
27%
46%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | -1 |