South Africa vs Japan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.9%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.7%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.6%
54.5%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
14.5%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.9%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South Africa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
ZAF
0 - 1
MOZ
64%
22%
14%
|
82 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2009 |
ZAF
1 - 1
ZWE
68%
20%
13%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2009 |
ZAF
2 - 0
AGO
54%
25%
22%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2009 |
ISL
1 - 0
ZAF
45%
26%
29%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
NOR
1 - 0
ZAF
69%
20%
12%
|
83 | 91 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Japan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2009 |
JPN
5 - 0
TGO
78%
16%
6%
|
92 | 69 | 23 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
JPN
2 - 0
SCT
55%
25%
20%
|
92 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2009 |
JPN
6 - 0
HKG
92%
7%
1%
|
92 | 54 | 38 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2009 |
JPN
4 - 3
GHA
64%
22%
13%
|
92 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
NLD
3 - 0
JPN
70%
20%
11%
|
92 | 99 | 7 | 0 |