South Africa vs Egypt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.6%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.9%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
42.4%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South Africa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 1995 |
ZAF
2 - 2
ZMB
48%
23%
29%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1995 |
ZAF
3 - 2
MOZ
73%
17%
10%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1995 |
ZAF
1 - 1
ARG
9%
20%
71%
|
73 | 93 | 20 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 1995 |
LSO
1 - 3
ZAF
18%
24%
58%
|
73 | 47 | 26 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1994 |
ZAF
1 - 1
CMR
45%
24%
31%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Egypt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 1995 |
EGY
2 - 2
ZWE
72%
18%
10%
|
83 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1995 |
MAR
0 - 0
EGY
40%
30%
30%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1995 |
EGY
1 - 0
TUN
63%
22%
15%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1995 |
SYR
2 - 1
EGY
18%
25%
56%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1995 |
LBN
1 - 1
EGY
17%
22%
61%
|
83 | 57 | 26 | 0 |