CHAN Qualifying Segunda Ronda. Final
Global 1-6
South Africa vs Angola analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.7%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
13%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
16.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.9%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
24.6%
15.7%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South Africa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
AGO
2 - 0
ZAF
23%
25%
52%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
ZAF
0 - 0
COM
83%
13%
4%
|
80 | 48 | 32 | -1 |
| 22 Jul. 2022 |
COM
0 - 1
ZAF
6%
16%
78%
|
79 | 48 | 31 | +1 |
| 17 Jul. 2022 |
ZAF
2 - 1
BWA
71%
20%
9%
|
79 | 61 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2022 |
MDG
1 - 2
ZAF
11%
19%
70%
|
79 | 57 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Angola
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
AGO
2 - 0
ZAF
23%
25%
52%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
AGO
1 - 0
MUS
83%
13%
4%
|
67 | 33 | 34 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
MUS
0 - 2
AGO
9%
20%
71%
|
67 | 33 | 34 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2022 |
BWA
1 - 0
AGO
24%
29%
47%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | -1 |
| 07 Jul. 2022 |
AGO
3 - 0
SYC
83%
14%
4%
|
68 | 34 | 34 | 0 |