Sri Lanka vs Tajikistan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.4%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.9%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.4%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
51.1%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.6%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sri Lanka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
LKA
2 - 2
TJK
25%
24%
52%
|
42 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2010 |
LKA
3 - 0
BGD
45%
26%
29%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | +2 |
| 18 Feb. 2010 |
LKA
1 - 3
TJK
27%
25%
48%
|
41 | 54 | 13 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2010 |
MMR
4 - 0
LKA
64%
19%
16%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2009 |
MDV
5 - 1
LKA
67%
18%
15%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Tajikistan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
LKA
2 - 2
TJK
25%
24%
52%
|
55 | 42 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2011 |
TJK
0 - 0
MDV
57%
22%
21%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2011 |
KHM
0 - 3
TJK
20%
22%
58%
|
55 | 32 | 23 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2011 |
TJK
1 - 0
KGZ
66%
20%
15%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2010 |
TJK
1 - 0
AFG
72%
17%
11%
|
55 | 40 | 15 | 0 |