CHAN Primera Ronda. Final
Global 2-7
Somalia vs Uganda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
4.3%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.5%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.7%
1-0
1.8%
2-1
1.3%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
3.4%
10.9%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
10.9%
84.8%
Win probability
2.82
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
14.3%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.4%
0-3
13.5%
1-4
4.8%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
19%
0-4
9.5%
1-5
2.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
12.5%
0-5
5.3%
1-6
1.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
6.7%
0-6
2.5%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0%
-6
3.1%
0-7
1%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1.2%
0-8
0.4%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.4%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Somalia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
SSD
2 - 0
SOM
68%
19%
14%
|
34 | 48 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
SOM
1 - 2
SSD
21%
22%
58%
|
35 | 47 | 12 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2015 |
NER
4 - 0
SOM
72%
18%
10%
|
36 | 55 | 19 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2015 |
SOM
0 - 2
NER
19%
22%
58%
|
36 | 55 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2011 |
ETH
5 - 0
SOM
77%
16%
8%
|
37 | 64 | 27 | -1 |
Matches
Uganda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 2019 |
UGA
0 - 1
SEN
19%
26%
55%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2019 |
UGA
0 - 2
EGY
16%
24%
61%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | -1 |
| 26 Jun. 2019 |
UGA
1 - 1
ZWE
37%
28%
36%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2019 |
COD
0 - 2
UGA
58%
23%
19%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Jun. 2019 |
CIV
0 - 1
UGA
74%
18%
8%
|
68 | 84 | 16 | +1 |