Serbia vs Ukraine analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.2%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.4%
30.8%
Draw
0-0
13.5%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.8%
35%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
21.7%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Serbia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2009 |
CYP
0 - 2
SRB
44%
26%
30%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
SRB
0 - 1
POL
21%
26%
53%
|
84 | 92 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2008 |
SRB
6 - 1
BGR
25%
29%
46%
|
83 | 91 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2008 |
AUT
1 - 3
SRB
65%
21%
14%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2008 |
SRB
3 - 0
LTU
48%
28%
24%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Ukraine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2009 |
UKR
3 - 2
SVK
54%
25%
20%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2008 |
UKR
1 - 0
NOR
37%
27%
36%
|
89 | 91 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2008 |
UKR
0 - 0
HRV
28%
27%
46%
|
89 | 95 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2008 |
KAZ
1 - 3
UKR
21%
27%
52%
|
89 | 66 | 23 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2008 |
UKR
1 - 0
BLR
65%
22%
14%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |